Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 46.238463 53.071193 60.176089 68.083989 76.608781 85.492768 95.421797
2024-11-03 37.676446 47.535878 58.355510 70.979318 85.177864 100.537965 118.295953
2024-11-10 32.258639 43.750878 56.875791 72.705246 91.023929 111.324601 135.294451
2024-11-17 26.791072 39.051904 53.608152 71.713780 93.209643 117.536832 146.780092
2024-11-24 22.447356 35.114789 50.720668 70.688419 94.939455 122.887316 156.995573
2024-12-01 19.417773 32.450558 49.057991 70.842055 97.817236 129.379246 168.379623
2024-12-08 16.904531 30.161112 47.614433 71.046029 100.578471 135.603309 179.357599
2024-12-15 14.947629 28.404625 46.674584 71.727144 103.802956 142.296914 190.839768
2024-12-22 12.720671 25.997574 44.657849 70.842955 104.935177 146.359199 199.107915
2024-12-29 11.461502 24.890977 44.305443 72.049952 108.643356 153.527886 211.103228
2025-01-05 10.446929 24.046957 44.234696 73.568389 112.709903 161.122642 223.623980
2025-01-12 8.917967 22.180873 42.556004 72.790207 113.717644 164.858500 231.396818
2025-01-19 7.248740 19.866008 40.074131 70.806891 113.099505 166.557152 236.714215
2025-01-26 6.891437 19.854740 41.055674 73.686863 118.946924 176.466979 252.262027
2025-02-02 6.330677 19.388533 41.285839 75.465912 123.308664 184.491476 265.486811
2025-02-09 5.275678 17.803363 39.639322 74.449312 123.832875 187.562569 272.495385
2025-02-16 4.353511 16.319846 38.036588 73.399961 124.239024 190.430786 279.216200
2025-02-23 3.742804 15.395842 37.284233 73.557202 126.267314 195.383123 288.566728
2025-03-02 3.211511 14.550498 36.598464 73.766011 128.336027 200.373804 297.967172
2025-03-09 2.806071 13.929911 36.254030 74.463218 131.071172 206.236378 308.491119
2025-03-16 2.258410 12.803281 34.919439 73.558128 131.493269 209.013351 315.046418
2025-03-23 2.009974 12.446054 34.958681 74.793632 134.961110 215.842328 326.834440
2025-03-30 1.817008 12.210034 35.203773 76.347676 138.888857 223.298339 339.457773